Six Systems in a Day, Then the Count Falls Back
For the first days of this campaign the tracker watched a single system at a time, first OBV-YC, then E-WMT7, with the contest holding steady either way. Then, over roughly a day, the footprint leapt from one system to five, and within a couple of hours to six. That is the sharpest inflection point in the record: an offensive suddenly showing up in more places at once. It did not last. The next observation dropped to five, and the latest to four, as E-WMT7 and F-5WYK fell out of the tracked group entirely. The front has contracted back to the constellation core.
Four Hubs, All of Them Someone Else's to Lose
What remains is a tight set of contests: 0FG-KS, EF-QZK, FLK-LJ and PA-ALN, each recorded as an ihub defense. PA-ALN has been the hottest of them in the two most recent observations, which suggests the pressure that has not dispersed has instead pooled in fewer places. Four separate sovereignty campaigns inside one constellation is still a lot of simultaneous work for a defender, but it is a narrower problem than six, and narrower than the peak suggested it was going to be.
A Grind That Is Not Converting
The numbers behind the fight tell a stubborn story rather than a dramatic one. Attacker pressure has averaged in the thirties across the campaign and has barely moved; the defending side's hold has averaged in the sixties and, in the final observation, firmed slightly while the attackers eased off. No systems have been lost, no systems have been gained, and no sovereignty change has been recorded. This is a constellation under sustained contest, not a constellation being taken. Whatever the attackers are spending here, they have so far bought presence rather than ground.
What Perrigen Falls Is Actually Watching
The unresolved question is whether the attackers can re-widen. They have already shown they can open several fronts at once, in a single day, and the defender has shown they can sit on all of them without losing a hub. STAKAN UNIVERSE appears to be holding the currently contested systems, though the tracked set is not the same one the campaign opened with, so this is a defence of the core rather than a clean preservation of the original line. If pressure stays pooled in four systems, this likely remains a grinding defensive campaign. If it spreads again, Perrigen Falls gets busy. Either way, the campaign is old enough now to be measured in endurance rather than surprise.
