A Front That Folded Inwards
At the first snapshot the pressure touched 04-LQM, 4VY-Y1, 6YC-TU, JE1-36, LU-HQS, LX-ZOJ, O-VWPB and U-L4KS. One by one they dropped out of the tracked footprint. The recorded hottest system moved from LX-ZOJ to LU-HQS, then to 04-LQM, and finally to U-L4KS. That is a front closing rather than a front being broken. No sovereignty changed hands across the whole window, so nothing here reads as a capture; it reads as pressure that never converted.
Goonswarm Keeps Ending Up on the Right Side of It
The defender score finished at 74, toward its highest levels of the window, and it reached 78 at one point. Attacker pressure ended at 26, near the low of the window, having dipped to 23 earlier in the run. The picture is not of a grinding stalemate but of an offensive running out of room. Goonswarm Federation held the contested systems it was asked to hold, and the trail of activity narrows behind them.
One ihub, Still on the Board
What is left is U-L4KS, where the contest is logged as an infrastructure hub defence, one sovereignty contest in a campaign tracked for about 55 hours. Intensity is rated Low. Momentum is recorded as defensive. The observation series spent most of its run labelled escalating, then turned steady before a final reading of cooling, which is a quiet way of saying the pressure stopped arriving. Whether that is a pause or an ending is not something the data settles.
What Geminate Is Left With
The wider region has not been rearranged. Seven systems left the contested list; none of them are recorded as changing hands. For Goonswarm Federation the immediate work appears to be finishing what remains in U-L4KS without incident, and for anyone pushing in Geminate the question is whether the systems that fell out of the footprint stay quiet or become worth revisiting. For now the front is one system wide, and it is shrinking.
